Team Thread Daily Update – Oct 23
bySean Tierney | October 23, 2019
So, my plan is to continue to tweet out a daily teams thread (among other things) on twitter. You can follow me here to check those regular threads.
But I’m going to add daily pieces here on the site too to add a little more context than is possible in a tweet thread.
Without further preamble, here’s how things look in the NHL on October 23rd.
So, a few teams catch the eye as we roll into the 10-game mark for teams.
On the plus side, the Arizona Coyotes have been very strong in the early going. ARI is managing the NHL’s third-best rate of 5v5 shots for, posting 63.31 Corsi for per 60 minutes. They trail only the Leafs and the surprising LA Kings in rate of shots generated. ARI’s also managed to hold opponents to a below-average rate of shots against — about 53.22 Corsi against per 60 (NHL average is just over 55 CA/60). They’ve not shot well (6.77 sh%, league-average sits at 7.97 at the moment) but they’ve received incredible team goaltending (league-leading 95.1 sv% at 5v5, league-average is 92.1). Both marks will regress to the averages a bit, which is fine for a team doing such great work controlling the flow of play.
Have a look for yourself here.
At the other end of the spectrum, the New York Rangers are waging a war on reason and axis ranges, routinely plotting well, well below league average rates. In terms of expected goal share, NYR is managing just over 2 xG at 5v5 play per 60 minutes. League average is about 2.2 xG per 60, leaving NYR in the bottom-third of NHL teams. The real damning part is NYR’s xG against. So far, they’re allowing 3.25 xGA per 60. That’s good for league-worst. The NHL average is only (you guessed it) 2.2 xG against and the second-worst team, the Ottawa Senators, is allowing only 2.58 xGA/60.
That’s a difference of more than 0.6 xG more per 60 than the next worst team.
It’s tough times for NYR fans.